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**This market is a social experiment to gauge social sentiment. To ensure a fair playground for all, there will be no trading fees charged for this market by Myriad. This market is TRADING ONLY and will never be resolved towards either option. Proceed at your own risk.**

Winning or losing? To be or not to be? *Up or Down?*

Questions that have been asked since the dawn of time, maybe even before. But is it more than a societal belief that pits us against each other?

To begin grasping a potential path to an answer, we must first acknowledge that there isn’t one. Like a caveman transported to Woodstock ‘69, we must attempt to understand the crowd that we are simultaneously part of and apart from—a crowd that behaves unpredictably based on predictable events and continues to surprise us while seemingly never changing.

Only then—once humbled, emboldened, and full of wonder—we can ask ourselves and the atoms around us the ever-ringing question, the itch at the back of our brains, the perpetrator of too many sleepless nights: **Up or Down?**

**Market Period:** Infinite. Do not give heed to any calendar dates, as they are but a mere distraction

**Resolution Criteria:**

- This market will not resolve

**Resolution Details:**

- No resolution can be triggered in this market

**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**

This market will be canceled/invalid if:

- Myriad Markets undergoes a change of its contract that demands the cancelation of all active markets, or similar technical or business imperatives
- Myriad Markets decides it is time for this market to cease to exist

In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

DOWN

Up or Down?

Bridged USDC (Stargate)

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Welcome to Myriad Predictions Land, where you can join to share insights on future trends and world events, participate in Contests, and win exciting rewards from our prime partners.

Myriad SZN 2 - USDC v3.3

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Big Rewards

Myriad SZN 2 Contest - USDC v3.3

[**Mando**](https://x.com/rektmando) predicts Bitcoin will pump to $120K.

[**KBM**](https://x.com/KeyboardMonkey3) predicts Bitcoin will dump to $100K.

**MYRIAD** has escrowed $200,000. This will be sent to the winner of the prediction (KBM or Mando) on resolution of this market. The receipt for the transaction can be found [**here**](https://etherscan.io/tx/0x160efd7deb18b17ad8d2ef34dc9d8e426733bdcee549424539d10febe01d0ab3).

*This market is subject to only 1% fees.*

**Market Details:**

- Market Close: This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.
- Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.
- Pump Target: $120,000.00.
- Dump Target: $100,000.00.

**Resolution Criteria:**

- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:

  - “120K” if the BTC/USDT price on Binance reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.
  - “100K” if the BTC/USDT on Binance drops to equal or below the Dump Target.

**Resolution details:**

- The market resolves based on the Binance BTC/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:

  - 1-minute timeframe ("1m").
  - Trading View.
  - "Close" price of each candle.

- Only the price of BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.

**Cancellation and Invalidity Conditions:**

- The BTC/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable.
- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.
- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.
- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.

*In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.*

120K

100K

BINANCE

 Mando vs KBM on BTC's next move: 120K or 100K?

President Trump's relationship with China has been a significant focus of international politics. Will Trump make an official or unofficial visit to mainland China during 2025?

**Market Dates**

- **Market Period:** The market covers any visits to mainland China from market publish through to December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT
- **Market closing:** December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT

**Resolution criteria:**

- If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China during the market period, this market will resolve to "Yes”
- This market will resolve to "No" if U.S. President Donald Trump does NOT visit China during the market period

**Resolution Details**

- A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of mainland China
- Simply entering Chinese airspace (such as during a flight stopover or while en route to another destination) does not qualify as a visit for the purposes of this market. A positive resolution requires Trump to physically set foot on mainland Chinese soil.
- A visit to non-mainland China, including but not exclusive to Hong Kong and Taiwan, does not count for a “Yes” resolution

**Resolution Sources:**

- Primary Source: The White House official website
- Secondary Sources: Trump's verified social media accounts (e.g., [twitter.com/POTUS](http://twitter.com/POTUS)) or confirmation from international media outlets such as Associated Press or Reuters

**Cancellation Conditions:**

- The visit's status cannot be definitively determined using the specified resolution sources
- Major geopolitical events make travel between the U.S. and China impossible
- Extraordinary circumstances prevent reliable verification of the outcome

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

White House

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

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